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A driver refuels a vehicle at a gas station in Palo Alto, California.

A driver refuels a vehicle at a gas station in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

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By Jonnelle Marte and Maria Eloisa Capurro

July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT

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Federal Reserve officials will head into their policy meeting this week confronting a resurgence in price pressures that could make their decision on whether to hold or hike interest rates a close call — and a contentious one.

Renewed tensions in the Middle East have sent oil prices soaring again, overshadowing a tamer-than-expected reading on June consumer prices that seemed to offer officials breathing room to keep rates stable. Add to that a demand boom fueled by artificial intelligence and the Trump administration’s announcements of new tariffs, and Fed watchers see the possibility of dissents at the July 28-29 meeting if officials again leave policy unchanged.

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